LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
WNBA ·
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury result (89:86) on 4 Oct 2025 (WNBA): 10 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 86% backing Las Vegas Aces to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Las Vegas Aces 89:86 Phoenix Mercury (2025-10-04). Before the result, 86% of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Las Vegas Aces to win — that call was right.
10 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Las Vegas Aces 6 (86%) · Phoenix Mercury 1 (14%).
Las Vegas Aces, last 5: W L W W L. Phoenix Mercury, last 5: W W W L W. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Las Vegas Aces wins – draws – Phoenix Mercury wins): 3-0-1; latest 2025-08-22: Las Vegas Aces 83:61 Phoenix Mercury.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2025-10-04 01:19 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
10 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Las Vegas Aces to win 6 (86%) · Phoenix Mercury to win 1 (14%).
| 2025-09-30 | vs Indiana Fever | 107:98 | W |
| 2025-09-29 | vs Indiana Fever | 83:90 | L |
| 2025-09-27 | vs Indiana Fever | 84:72 | W |
| 2025-09-24 | vs Indiana Fever | 90:68 | W |
| 2025-09-22 | vs Indiana Fever | 73:89 | L |
| 2025-09-29 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 86:81 | W |
| 2025-09-27 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 84:76 | W |
| 2025-09-24 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 89:83 | W |
| 2025-09-22 | vs Minnesota Lynx | 69:82 | L |
| 2025-09-19 | vs New York Liberty | 79:73 | W |
| 2025-08-22 | Las Vegas Aces | 83:61 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2025-08-16 | Phoenix Mercury | 83:86 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2025-06-30 | Phoenix Mercury | 81:84 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2025-06-16 | Las Vegas Aces | 70:76 | Phoenix Mercury |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | 0x4133…e834 Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-04 | Geo9 Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-04 | 0x312d…6814 Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-04 | 0x5825…4ffb Polymarket | Mercury to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-04 | wowfarm Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-04 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Lost |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x1098…f4df SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Lost |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x4332…df5d SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0xb978…b85e SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Lost |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0xb978…b85e SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Lost |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Pending |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x4332…df5d SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Pending |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x845a…5c0d SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Lost |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x845a…5c0d SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Lost |
| 2025-10-03 | Alert-Doubling Polymarket | Aces to win | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Won |
| 2025-10-03 | 0x4332…df5d SX Bet | Las Vegas Aces W vs Phoenix Mercury W | Lost |