NBA ·
Trail Blazers vs Thunder prediction for 12 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC (NBA). Prediction-market win probability: Trail Blazers 53%, Thunder 46% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Trail Blazers 53% · Thunder 46% (updated )
Trail Blazers is the prediction-market favourite at 53% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-11 05:50 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 52% of 2229 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-11 05:50 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Trail Blazers 53% · Thunder 46%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Trail Blazers, last 5: L L W W W. Thunder, last 5: W W W W L. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Trail Blazers wins – draws – Thunder wins): 1-0-4; latest 2026-01-01: Thunder 124:95 Trail Blazers.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-11 05:50 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-11-08 | vs Spurs | 103:125 | L |
| 2026-11-07 | vs Lakers | 118:124 | L |
| 2026-11-05 | vs Suns | 132:119 | W |
| 2026-11-03 | vs Nuggets | 118:110 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Jazz | 112:90 | W |
| 2026-11-08 | vs Wizards | 114:75 | W |
| 2026-11-07 | vs Grizzlies | 128:97 | W |
| 2026-11-05 | vs Cavaliers | 124:116 | W |
| 2026-11-03 | vs Cavaliers | 117:112 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Rockets | 98:119 | L |
| 2026-01-01 | Thunder | 124:95 | Trail Blazers |
| 2025-12-01 | Trail Blazers | 115:123 | Thunder |
| 2025-11-24 | Thunder | 122:95 | Trail Blazers |
| 2025-11-06 | Trail Blazers | 121:119 | Thunder |
| 2025-03-08 | Thunder | 107:89 | Trail Blazers |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | FarhanAlithegre Polymarket | Thunder vs. Trail Blazers | Lost |
| 2026-11-11 | FarhanAlithegre Polymarket | Thunder vs. Trail Blazers | Pending |
| 2026-11-10 | FarhanAlithegre Polymarket | Thunder vs. Trail Blazers | Pending |