AFCON ·
Sudan vs Senegal prediction for 16 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC (AFCON): 8 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 50% backing Senegal to win. Prediction-market win probability: Sudan 4%, the draw 16%, Senegal 78% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Sudan 4% · Draw 16% · Senegal 78% (updated )
Senegal is the prediction-market favourite at 78% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-15 19:46 UTC+0). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (50%) back Senegal to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 87% of 2579 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-15 19:46 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Sudan 4% · Draw 16% · Senegal 78%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
8 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Sudan 2 (33%) · Draw 1 (17%) · Senegal 3 (50%).
Sudan, last 5: L L W L L. Senegal, last 5: W W W D D. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (Sudan wins – draws – Senegal wins): 0-0-2; latest 2026-11-13: Senegal 4:1 Sudan.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-15 19:46 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
8 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Sudan to win 2 (33%) · the draw 1 (17%) · Senegal to win 3 (50%).
| 2026-11-13 | vs Senegal | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Mozambique | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Ethiopia | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-01-03 | vs Senegal | 1:3 | L |
| 2025-12-31 | vs Burkina Faso | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-11-13 | vs Sudan | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | vs Comoros | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | vs Ethiopia | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Mozambique | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-07-02 | vs Belgium | 2:2 | D |
| 2026-11-13 | Senegal | 4:1 | Sudan |
| 2026-01-03 | Senegal | 3:1 | Sudan |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-15 | 0x24e1…5ad3 Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Mediocre-Noir Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Macunireal Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | hXMxXVdpTXPBsFcHjMvGcxC Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | worknplay Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Sudan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Sudan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | Deliles Polymarket | Sudan to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | doador Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-15 | suntori Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | Oddstorm Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-14 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Senegal to win | Pending |