Premier League ·
Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC prediction for 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC (Premier League): 5 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 100% backing Manchester United FC to win. Prediction-market win probability: Manchester United FC 42%, the draw 25%, Aston Villa FC 33% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Manchester United FC 42% · Draw 25% · Aston Villa FC 33% (updated )
Manchester United FC is the prediction-market favourite at 42% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-01 22:45 UTC+0). Of 4 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (100%) back Manchester United FC to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2039 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 22:45 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Manchester United FC 42% · Draw 25% · Aston Villa FC 33%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
5 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Manchester United FC 4 (100%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Aston Villa FC 0 (0%).
Manchester United FC, last 5: L L L D L. Aston Villa FC, last 5: D L W W W. Head-to-head, last 3 meetings (Manchester United FC wins – draws – Aston Villa FC wins): 2-0-1; latest 2026-03-15: Manchester United FC 3:1 Aston Villa FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-02 05:39 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
5 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Manchester United FC to win 4 (100%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Aston Villa FC to win 0 (0%).
| 2026-10-31 | vs Chelsea FC | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Como 1907 | 1:4 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Leeds United FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-14 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Fulham FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-29 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Manchester City FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Viking FK | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Newcastle United FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-03-15 | Manchester United FC | 3:1 | Aston Villa FC |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa FC | 2:1 | Manchester United FC |
| 2025-05-25 | Manchester United FC | 2:0 | Aston Villa FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Manchester United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-02 | lbtrading Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | alto11 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | alto11 Polymarket | Manchester United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Manchester United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Manchester United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | firebroo Polymarket | Manchester United FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | 0x5bd2…aafe Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | ALEO-106 Polymarket | Aston Villa FC to win | Pending |