Colombian Liga DIMAYOR ·
Cucuta vs Independ. Santa Fe prediction for 4 Nov 2026, 23:30 UTC (Colombian Liga DIMAYOR). Prediction-market win probability: Cucuta 31%, the draw 28%, Independ. Santa Fe 40% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Cucuta 31% · Draw 28% · Independ. Santa Fe 40% (updated )
Independ. Santa Fe is the prediction-market favourite at 40% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-01 13:13 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 44% of 2024 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 13:13 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Cucuta 31% · Draw 28% · Independ. Santa Fe 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Cucuta, last 5: L L W W W. Independ. Santa Fe, last 5: L W W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 13:13 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-28 | vs Aguilas Doradas Rionegro | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs America Cali | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Atletico Nacional | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Boyaca Chico | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Pereira | 4:0 | W |
| 2026-10-30 | vs Atletico Nacional | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-10-27 | vs Bucaramanga | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Jaguares | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Llaneros | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | vs Ind. Medellin | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Independiente Santa Fe to win | Pending |