Conference League ·
Rīga FC vs FK Jablonec prediction for 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC (Conference League). Prediction-market win probability: Rīga FC 39%, the draw 28%, FK Jablonec 31% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Rīga FC 39% · Draw 28% · FK Jablonec 31% (updated )
Rīga FC is the prediction-market favourite at 39% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-01 16:16 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 2028 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 16:16 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Rīga FC 39% · Draw 28% · FK Jablonec 31%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Rīga FC, last 5: D D W D D. FK Jablonec, last 5: D L W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 16:16 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-22 | vs Páfos FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Qairat FK | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-08-28 | vs KÍ | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-08-21 | vs KÍ | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-08-14 | vs ETO FC | 1:1 | D |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-16 | vs SC Freiburg | 2:3 | L |
| 2026-08-27 | vs Rangers FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-08-21 | vs Rangers FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-08-13 | vs FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 2:1 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Rīga FC vs FK Jablonec O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Rīga FC vs FK Jablonec O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Rīga FC vs FK Jablonec O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Rīga FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Rīga FC to win | Pending |