AFCON ·
Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau result (1:1) on 12 Nov 2026 (AFCON): 47 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi took positions, 45% backing Madagascar to win. See who got it right, plus both teams' form.
Final score: Madagascar 1:1 Guinea Bissau (2026-11-12). Before the result, 45% of 29 profitable pros with a win/draw position backed Madagascar to win — that call was wrong.
47 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Madagascar 13 (45%) · Draw 4 (14%) · Guinea Bissau 12 (41%).
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-12 17:56 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
47 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Madagascar to win 13 (45%) · the draw 4 (14%) · Guinea Bissau to win 12 (41%).
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | wilful.sheepdog4913 Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | pure.urial Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | mirandafer Kalshi | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | stephenchung29 Kalshi | Guinea-Bissau wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | mirandafer Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | mirandafer Kalshi | Guinea-Bissau wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | unconscious.ox0075 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | full.base Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | grgrg Kalshi | Guinea-Bissau wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | grgrg Kalshi | Final score Madagascar wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | grgrg Kalshi | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Jcastillo18 Kalshi | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x4681…efa9 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0xe2c6…45a2 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | KD.LOD Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | manguz Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | renfielddebergerac Kalshi | Final score Madagascar wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | pure.urial Kalshi | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | bravo559 Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | renfielddebergerac Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | pure.urial Kalshi | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | promopete Kalshi | Guinea-Bissau wins | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | unconscious.opossum3889 Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0xe2c6…45a2 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | supporting.foal0724 Kalshi | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | unconscious.opossum3889 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0xe2c6…45a2 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | self.trunk Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x68e1…bd35 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | unconscious.ox0075 Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 3steban05nk Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0xe2c6…45a2 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0xe2c6…45a2 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | marvellous.llama3974 Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | sad.anica999 Kalshi | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | overwhelming.wren6662 Kalshi | Madagascar wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | grgrg Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | applicable.boa2637 Kalshi | Guinea-Bissau wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | delightful.dove0879 Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | independent.horse2155 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | applicable.boa2637 Kalshi | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | TylerGolfPro Kalshi | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | svjchallange Kalshi | GBS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | delightful.dove0879 Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | Matter.daddy.711 Kalshi | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | franzx Kalshi | Guinea-Bissau wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | clis41 Kalshi | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | Yordan10a Kalshi | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-11-12 | 0x8268…a0a1 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Lost |
| 2026-11-12 | 0xe2c6…45a2 SX Bet | Madagascar vs Guinea Bissau | Won |