USL Championship ·
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising FC prediction for 1 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC (USL Championship). Prediction-market win probability: New Mexico United 41%, the draw 26%, Phoenix Rising FC 32% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: New Mexico United 41% · Draw 26% · Phoenix Rising FC 32% (updated )
New Mexico United is the prediction-market favourite at 41% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-01 22:41 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 2101 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 22:41 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: New Mexico United 41% · Draw 26% · Phoenix Rising FC 32%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
New Mexico United, last 5: W L W W L. Phoenix Rising FC, last 5: D W W L L. Head-to-head, last 2 meetings (New Mexico United wins – draws – Phoenix Rising FC wins): 2-0-0; latest 2026-10-05: New Mexico United 2:1 Phoenix Rising FC.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 22:41 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-25 | vs El Paso Locomotive FC | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs San Antonio FC | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Monterey Bay FC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs Phoenix Rising FC | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | vs FC Tulsa | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Lexington SC | 3:3 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Orange County SC | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Las Vegas Lights | 3:2 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | vs New Mexico United | 1:2 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Oakland Roots SC | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | New Mexico United | 2:1 | Phoenix Rising FC |
| 2026-06-07 | New Mexico United | 4:0 | Phoenix Rising FC |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | New Mexico United to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | Phoenix Rising FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | lbtrading Polymarket | New Mexico United to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising FC O/U 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | New Mexico United -1.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | TheRomanProcurator Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | doador Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-30 | coolhanddan Kalshi | Over 2.5 | Pending |