Ligue 1 ·
Paris Saint Germain vs ES Troyes AC prediction for 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC (Ligue 1). Prediction-market win probability: Paris Saint Germain 86%, the draw 9%, ES Troyes AC 5% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Polymarket chances: Paris Saint Germain 86% · Draw 9% · ES Troyes AC 5% (updated )
Paris Saint Germain is the prediction-market favourite at 86% (Polymarket, as of 2026-11-02 06:08 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1809 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-02 06:08 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: Paris Saint Germain 86% · Draw 9% · ES Troyes AC 5%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: W W W W W. ES Troyes AC, last 5: W D L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-02 06:08 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-31 | vs Le Havre AC | 5:1 | W |
| 2026-10-27 | vs Lyon | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-21 | vs FC Barcelona | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Strasbourg | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Manchester City FC | 4:2 | W |
| 2026-11-01 | vs Le Mans FC | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Toulouse FC | 0:0 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Lens | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | vs Olympique de Marseille | 0:2 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Angers SCO | 0:2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Knowing-Narrative Polymarket | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-11-01 | lbtrading Polymarket | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-31 | tobako Polymarket | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Pending |