Europa League ·
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique de Marseille prediction for 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC (Europa League): 3 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 67%, the draw 17%, Olympique de Marseille 14% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 67% · Draw 17% · Olympique de Marseille 14% (updated )
Bayer 04 Leverkusen is the prediction-market favourite at 67% (Kalshi, as of 2026-11-01 12:46 UTC+0). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 65% of 2486 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-11-01 12:46 UTC+0, Kalshi shows: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 67% · Draw 17% · Olympique de Marseille 14%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 5: L W L W W. Olympique de Marseille, last 5: W L W L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-11-01 12:46 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
3 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-31 | vs VfB Stuttgart | 2:4 | L |
| 2026-10-29 | vs 1. FC Nürnberg | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0:3 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | vs OFI | 2:0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Sport-Club Freiburg | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-25 | vs Le Havre AC | 4:3 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Angers SCO | 5:2 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Olympiakós SFP | 0:1 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | vs ES Troyes AC | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | dacthenuac Polymarket | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | UNEB3154s4f251 Polymarket | Olympique de Marseille to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Olympique de Marseille to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Olympique de Marseille to win | Pending |