LoL Worlds 2026 · MLB Postseason
Champions League ·
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction for 4 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC (Champions League): 12 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 80% backing Real Madrid to win. Prediction-market win probability: AEK Athens 10%, the draw 14%, Real Madrid 75% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: AEK Athens 10% · Draw 14% · Real Madrid 75% (updated )
Real Madrid is the prediction-market favourite at 75% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-30 01:43 UTC+0). Of 10 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 8 (80%) back Real Madrid to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 84% of 1741 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-30 01:43 UTC+0, Polymarket shows: AEK Athens 10% · Draw 14% · Real Madrid 75%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
12 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AEK Athens 2 (20%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Real Madrid 8 (80%).
AEK Athens, last 5: L L L W W. Real Madrid, last 5: W W W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-30 01:43 UTC+0. How we calculate: methodology
12 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AEK Athens to win 2 (20%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Real Madrid to win 8 (80%).
| 2026-10-29 | vs PAOK | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-10-21 | vs Manchester City FC | 1:5 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1:3 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | vs MGS Panserraïkós | 8:1 | W |
| 2026-09-08 | vs LASK Linz | 1:0 | W |
| 2026-10-26 | vs FC Barcelona | 2:1 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Leipzig | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-19 | vs Sevilla FC | 4:1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Espanyol | 3:1 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs AS Roma | 4:3 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-28 | chorraleg Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | nigiri99 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | OranG3 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-26 | Khalilayyoobi Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | dacthenuac Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | Flaznorp Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-25 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | AEK to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | 0x79f5…79c7 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-23 | justanogdataguy Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Gaditima Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Elastic-Tanktop Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | ferdinand2 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | Threekidsdre Kalshi | Real Madrid wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-22 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | 0x0a8e…05a4 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Exotic-Congregation Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Grumpy-Oven Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | 38791873984189 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | ALEO-106 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | manuel9009 Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | Amazing-Accommodation Polymarket | Real Madrid CF to win | Pending |