Kalshi · Basketball
bmshaw is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 137 picks, 63.5% win rate, $257 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 34 | 34 | 24 | 70.6% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Europa League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
bmshaw mainly predicts MLB: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.5% hit rate over 137 orders, P&L $257, ROI 12.1%. In MLB, 24 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-01 21:42 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New Mexico State Aggies 34:13 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | USC Trojans 42:26 San Jose St. NCAAF | USC -35.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Indianapolis Colts 16:25 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit vs Indianapolis Pro Football game: Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | TCU to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | UNLV Rebels 21:27 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Over 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Chicago Cubs 17:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | San Francisco Giants 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Angels 3:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Green Bay 42:38 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Over 35.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs 8:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Baltimore Ravens 41:3 Washington Commanders NFL | BAL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | St. Louis Cardinals 7:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Seattle Storm 90:78 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | St. Louis Cardinals 7:8 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Chicago WS 10:4 Texas MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Athletics 4:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | St. Louis Cardinals 1:13 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Arizona Diamondbacks 0:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: TEN Titans wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2:19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati Bengals 27:9 Chicago Bears NFL | Over 34.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles R 34:0 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: NO Saints wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 12:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | San Diego Padres 6:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Jagiellonia Białystok (Jagiellonia) 4:0 Iberia Europa League | Jagiellonia vs Iberia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | HOU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 5:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | America 3:0 San Luis Liga MX | America vs San Luis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Cubs 4:11 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 12.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Cubs 4:11 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Mets 4:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Philadelphia 3:1 Club Necaxa Leagues Cup | Philadelphia vs Necaxa Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:8 Colorado Rockies MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Comerciantes U. 3:1 Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes U. vs Cusco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) 3:0 Port Vale F.C. (Port Vale FC) EFL Cup | Wolverhampton vs Port Vale: Wolverhampton To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Golden State Valkyries 92:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | GS +15.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | AZ -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego be the San Diego vs Arizona first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Colorado Rockies 9:13 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Houston Astros 1:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Liberty 95:83 Seattle Storm WNBA | NY +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101:106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Palmeiras 3:0 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Copa do Brasil | Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101:106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | PDX +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | SD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rockies 8:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | GS +13.5 | Lost |