Kalshi · Baseball
beat.the.vig is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 24 picks, 65.2% win rate, $216 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 33 | 33 | 17 | 51.5% |
| NFL | 18 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% |
| Nations League | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| BLAST Slam | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Logitech G Play Connect | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
beat.the.vig mainly predicts NCAAF: 33 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.2% hit rate over 24 orders, P&L $216, ROI 20.5%. In NCAAF, 17 of 33 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 14:54 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators NCAAF | FLA -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | TLSA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:17 BYU Cougars NCAAF | BYU -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Over 38.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Over 37.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Giants 36:24 Arizona Cardinals NFL | ARI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New Mexico State Aggies 34:13 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | New Mexico St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Natus Vincere 1:2 1win BLAST Slam | Natus Vincere wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver win the 3rd Quarter | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | MIN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Cleveland win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | neither team win the 1st Quarter | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:0 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | WASH +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | USC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | LSU Tigers 35:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | LSU +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Alabama Crimson Tide 49:18 South Carolina Gamecocks NCAAF | ALA +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | BC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Boston College wins the 3rd quarter | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | VT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Boston College wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 49:14 Sam Houston Bearkats NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Tie in the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Virginia Tech wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Boston College Eagles 14:21 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | VT +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Toledo Rockets 41:16 San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF | Toledo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Western Michigan Broncos 7:32 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | BSU -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Toledo Rockets 41:16 San Diego State Aztecs NCAAF | TOL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Northwestern Wildcats 34:13 Penn St. NCAAF | PSU -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | UAB Blazers 24:20 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | UAB wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | UAB Blazers 24:20 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | Navy wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) 2:0 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17:34 Liberty Flames NCAAF | LIB -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17:34 Liberty Flames NCAAF | LIB -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17:34 Liberty Flames NCAAF | LIB -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Luminosity 2:0 B8 Logitech G Play Connect | B8 wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay win the 3rd Quarter | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | HOU Texans 6:20 CIN Bengals NFL | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay win the 1st Half | Won |