Kalshi · Football
back.shot is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 70.6% win rate, $224 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 43 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 42 have settled: 28 won, 14 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| NBA | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eliteserien | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
back.shot mainly predicts World Cup: 18 of the last 43 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.6% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $224, ROI 38.6%. In World Cup, 12 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 17:23 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | AS Roma 0:0 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | ROM -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-21 | New Orleans Pelicans 120:123 Indiana Pacers NBA | Kelly Oubre Jr.: 4+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Mike Gesicki: 25+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Michigan State Spartans 30:20 Toledo Rockets NCAAF | MSU -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Boston First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:1 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Pittsburgh First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:10 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 7:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 1:13 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Molde FK 1:2 SK Brann Eliteserien | Molde vs Brann Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Portugal: 5+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain: 6+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) Intl Friendlies | Mexico vs Australia Winner | Won |