Kalshi · Football
arm.seat is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 73.7% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 36 won, 23 lost, 61.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 30 | 29 | 16 | 55.2% |
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 11 | 73.3% |
| NCAAF | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
arm.seat mainly predicts NFL: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.7% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 26.4%. In NFL, 16 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 23:11 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | Washington wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | New Orleans Saints 13:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | MIN +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Drake London: 80+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Miami Dolphins 24:31 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Malik Washington: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Drake London: 90+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Drake London: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Buffalo Bills 26:29 New England Patriots NFL | Buffalo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3:9 MIN Vikings NFL | Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:23 CLE Browns NFL | Baker Mayfield: 15+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3:9 MIN Vikings NFL | Justin Jefferson: 80+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | Dallas Goedert: 25+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Ohio St. 59:3 Kent State Golden Flashes NCAAF | Team Over 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Team Over 34.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Amon-Ra St. Brown: 100+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | NYG -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | DJ Moore: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 37:59 Chicago Bears NFL | Colston Loveland: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 37:59 Chicago Bears NFL | Colston Loveland: 50+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit 31:30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | Travis Etienne Jr.: 3+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Isaiah Likely: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | ND -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Under 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Michigan wins | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Atlanta Braves 6:3 New York Mets MLB | ATL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:1 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |