Kalshi · Basketball
ap.phil is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 101 picks, 61.4% win rate, $6K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 24 | 24 | 12 | 50.0% |
| WNBA | 22 | 22 | 13 | 59.1% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| NBA Summer League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
ap.phil mainly predicts NCAAF: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.4% hit rate over 101 orders, P&L $6K, ROI 29.8%. In NCAAF, 12 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-17 22:40 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee State Tigers 25:16 Morgan State Bears NCAAF | TNST -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 119:66 London Lions NBA | Under 211.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Prairie View A&M Panthers 14:28 Southern University NCAAF | Under 56.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Morgan State Bears 28:27 Robert Morris Colonials NCAAF | Under 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Mercer Bears 17:14 Western Carolina Catamounts NCAAF | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | The Citadel Bulldogs 16:34 East Tennessee State Buccaneers NCAAF | The Citadel wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Marist Red Foxes 28:41 Columbia Lions NCAAF | Columbia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Marist Red Foxes 28:41 Columbia Lions NCAAF | CLMB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Marist Red Foxes 28:41 Columbia Lions NCAAF | CLMB -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Bowling Green Falcons 38:10 Sacramento State Hornets NCAAF | BGSU -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Arkansas State Red Wolves 49:56 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | ARST -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Colorado State Rams 26:56 Oregon State Beavers NCAAF | ORST -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | San Diego State Aztecs 31:29 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | TXST -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Miami Dolphins 10:24 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Washington State Cougars 24:34 Arizona NCAAF | Team Over 16.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Alabama Crimson Tide 49:18 South Carolina Gamecocks NCAAF | Team Under 23.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Austin Peay Governors 35:12 Tennessee-Martin NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Samford Bulldogs 45:7 VMI Keydets NCAAF | Under 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Army Black Knights 24:28 South Florida Bulls NCAAF | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Illinois Fighting Illini 27:31 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | ILL -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | West Virginia Mountaineers 31:24 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers NCAAF | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Western Carolina Catamounts 45:21 Eastern Kentucky Colonels NCAAF | Over 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Idaho State Bengals 38:10 VMI Keydets NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | University at Albany 28:14 New Hampshire Wildcats NCAAF | UNH -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Tennessee-Martin Central Arkansas Bears NCAAF | UTM -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Over 37.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Toronto Tempo 78:88 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Over 179.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Portland Fire 100:105 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89:99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:11 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Phoenix Mercury 89:99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Miami Dolphins 3:26 New York Giants NFL | NYG -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Los Angeles R 34:0 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | NO -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Las Vegas Aces 82:97 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 176.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91:95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Cleveland Guardians 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | New Orleans Saints 20:24 Jacksonville Jaguars NFL | Under 36.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | New Orleans Saints 20:24 Jacksonville Jaguars NFL | Under 35.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Winnipeg Blue Bombers 33:21 Ottawa Redblacks CFL | WPG +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 87:92 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Over 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Liberty 85:81 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 185.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Las Vegas Aces 86:76 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Sparks 87:94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103:90 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 182.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Liberty 111:71 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Over 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100:93 Seattle Storm WNBA | PDX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100:93 Seattle Storm WNBA | PDX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Mystics 79:74 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 160.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Connecticut Sun 75:72 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Over 192.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 195.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Phoenix Mercury 92:94 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: New York wins | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Toronto Tempo 83:109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 183.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Dallas Wings 90:82 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Dallas Wings 90:82 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 183.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 88:92 Golden NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 88:92 Golden NBA Summer League | LAL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 88:92 Golden NBA Summer League | Under 170.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 88:92 Golden NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |