Kalshi · Football
ancient.lemur9425 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 64 picks, 63.5% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 34 won, 25 lost, 57.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 28 | 17 | 60.7% |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% |
| Conference League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Brazil Serie A | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
ancient.lemur9425 mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.5% hit rate over 64 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 34.7%. In World Cup, 17 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-01 15:38 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Fredrikstad FK 1:0 Sandefjord BK (Sandefjord) Norway Eliteserien | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Thailand 2:0 Malaysia men's national football team (Malaysia) ASEAN Championship | Thailand vs Malaysia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | N.E.C. (Nijmegen) 1:2 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 5:0 FC St. Gallen (FC St. Gallen 1879) Europa League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Vestri (IF Vestri) 1:1 FC RFS Conference League | IF Vestri vs FC RFS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | AFC Ajax 4:1 FK Vojvodina (FK Vojvodina Novi Sad) Conference League | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | AFC Ajax 4:1 FK Vojvodina (FK Vojvodina Novi Sad) Conference League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 2:2 Al Ittihad Club Friendlies | Malaga vs Al-Ittihad Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | FC Rottach-Egern 0:15 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | FC Rottach-Egern 0:15 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | AFC Bournemouth 5:2 FC Augsburg Club Friendlies | Bournemouth vs Augsburg Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Bay FC 0:1 Gotham FC (Gotham) NWSL | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Vitoria 0:4 Palmeiras Brazil Serie A | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Vitoria 0:4 Palmeiras Brazil Serie A | PAL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Wrexham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Atletico 4:1 Getafe CF Club Friendlies | Atletico vs Getafe Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6:4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6:4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 6:4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC (Western Sydney Wanderers) Club Friendlies | CFC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 0:0 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Guayaquil City vs Uni Catolica Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 0:0 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Guayaquil City vs Uni Catolica Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Randers FC 1:1 Silkeborg IF Danish Superliga | Randers vs Silkeborg Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | AFC Ajax 2:1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) Club Friendlies | Ajax vs Burnley Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cordoba 0:0 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Cordoba vs Sevilla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Vicente Barcelos 1:0 FC Porto Club Friendlies | Vicente Barcelos vs Porto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Stevenage F.C. (Stevenage FC) 0:5 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Qatar Winner | Won |