Kalshi · Football
SpicyHotSauce is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 69.6% win rate, $540 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 10 | 55.6% |
| MLS | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
SpicyHotSauce mainly predicts World Cup: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.6% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $540, ROI 46.1%. In World Cup, 10 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 03:01 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Sacramento Kings 120:128 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Los Angeles Lakers 125:117 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Minnesota Twins 3:8 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Cincinnati Reds 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal CF 1:2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego FC 0:5 Philadelphia MLS | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | San Francisco Giants 4:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Chicago Fire FC 1:2 New England MLS | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27:13 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD 2:4 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | LA Galaxy 1:1 Seattle MLS | Los Angeles G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Kansas City 3:1 Los Angeles FC MLS | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Kansas City 3:1 Los Angeles FC MLS | Los Angeles F wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Fulham wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 1:3 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) Saudi Pro League | Al-Shabab vs Al Qadsiah Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | America 1:1 Austin FC Leagues Cup | America vs Austin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Sharper Esport 2:1 Rex Regum Qeon VCT Pacific | Rex Regum Qeon to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Super Cup | PSG vs Aston Villa: PSG To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja 2:1 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Uni Catolica Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. (Plymouth) 2:0 Exeter EFL Cup | Plymouth vs Exeter: Plymouth To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | GIANTX GC 2:1 Barca eSports GC VCT Game Changers EMEA | GIANTX GC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | IK Sirius 2:2 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Sirius vs Brommapojkarna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:1 Los Angeles FC MLS | Vancouver vs Los Angeles F Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Columbus Crew (Columbus) MLS | Miami vs Columbus Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | San Diego Padres 7:0 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | New York City FC 1:1 Toronto FC MLS | New York City vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | G2 Esports 2:0 KRÜ Esports VCT Americas | Map 2: G2 Esports | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Shopify Rebellion 2:1 2GAME Esports VCL Americas | Shopify Rebellion to win | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Habos Babos 2:1 Twisted Minds Orchid VCT Game Changers EMEA | Twisted Minds Orchid to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 2:3 Ind. del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Ind. del Valle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Dallas Wings 98:99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Dallas Wings 98:99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Ind. del Valle 6:1 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) Ecuador LigaPro | Ind. del Valle vs Emelec Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Toronto Tempo 95:108 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 3:3 Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) Brasileiro Serie B | Sport Recife vs Botafogo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan Winner | Won |