Kalshi · Football
RunningWithSpoons is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 88.9% win rate, $117K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 48 won, 12 lost, 80.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 27 | 23 | 85.2% |
| WNBA | 17 | 17 | 15 | 88.2% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
RunningWithSpoons mainly predicts World Cup: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 88.9% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $117K, ROI 38.1%. In World Cup, 23 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 04:01 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Houston Rockets 120:110 Atlanta Hawks NBA | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Boston Celtics 134:99 Chicago Bulls NBA | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sacramento Kings 112:123 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Oklahoma City Thunder 108:101 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Toronto Tempo 85:103 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Atlanta Dream 103:59 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 21:37 Massachusetts Minutemen NCAAF | UMass wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Texas 2:9 Athletics MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 10:1 New York Yankees MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Dallas Wings 97:71 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Seattle Storm 74:90 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Atlanta Dream 89:81 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury 101:69 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Las Vegas Aces 93:73 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Indiana Fever 111:91 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Connecticut Sun 64:89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Dallas Wings 96:78 Portland Fire WNBA | Dallas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Toronto Tempo 78:88 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Washington Mystics 93:82 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Washington women's Pro Basketball game: Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Las Vegas Aces 82:97 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Toronto Tempo 95:101 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Toronto women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Minnesota Lynx 82:89 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |