Kalshi · Football
troubled.beaver7440 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 32 picks, 59.4% win rate, $225 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 19 won, 41 lost, 31.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| Liga MX | 14 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| MLS | 10 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| Intl Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Liga de Expansion MX | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
troubled.beaver7440 mainly predicts World Cup: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 59.4% hit rate over 32 orders, P&L $225, ROI 36.4%. In World Cup, 6 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 17:43 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Bucaramanga 1:1 Aguilas Doradas Rionegro Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Bucaramanga wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | Club Brugge wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Vancouver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Kansas City 3:3 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tigres wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 3:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 Leon Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 Leon Liga MX | Leon wins 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 1:1 QPR EFL Championship | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Oaxaca 2:1 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Oaxaca 2:1 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Palmeiras 1:0 Bahia Brasileiro Serie A | Palmeiras wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Palmeiras 1:0 Bahia Brasileiro Serie A | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2:2 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | The Cong - Viettel 1:3 Ha Tinh FC Vietnam V-League 1 | Ha Tinh FC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) 2:0 Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) 1:1 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Botafogo FC 1:2 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) Brasileiro Serie A | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Vitoria 4:0 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) Brasileiro Serie A | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | FC Cincinnati 4:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Cincinnati vs Vancouver Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | FC Cincinnati 4:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | CIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia 3:1 Red Bull New York (New York RB) MLS | NYRB -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | MIA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | CHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Toluca vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | TOL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | PUM -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1:1 Bahia Brasileiro Serie A | Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | CRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | PUE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | San Luis vs Cruz Azul Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | San Luis vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | San Luis 2:3 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | CRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | TIG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | COL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | SUI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | BEL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Lost |