Kalshi · Football
toxic.lullabies is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 66.7% win rate, $690 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 34 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 34 have settled: 20 won, 14 lost, 58.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 28 | 28 | 15 | 53.6% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
toxic.lullabies mainly predicts World Cup: 28 of the last 34 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $690, ROI 37.2%. In World Cup, 15 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 20:13 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | URU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | ECU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | CAN -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | GER -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |