Kalshi · Basketball
tmwadvisors is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 40 picks, 62.5% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 24 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% |
| NBA | 14 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% |
| NFL | 12 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Bundesliga | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Europa League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
tmwadvisors mainly predicts NCAAF: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 40 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 24.6%. In NCAAF, 10 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 04:28 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Over 30.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Phoenix Suns 131:122 Golden State Warriors NBA | Over 241.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Over 57.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | TEX +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Michigan Wolverines 6:13 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Stanford Cardinal 31:28 NC St. NCAAF | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Sacramento Kings 120:128 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Over 232.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Indiana Pacers 105:121 Dallas Mavericks NBA | Over 63.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Over 244.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Over 239.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | 1H Over 116.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | Over 243.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Washington Wizards 128:116 Milwaukee Bucks NBA | Trae Young: 35+ points, rebounds, and assists | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Miami Heat (Heat) 106:131 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Over 241.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Marshall Thundering Herd 20:13 South Alabama Jaguars NCAAF | Team Over 34.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Over 230.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Over 220.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | John Collins: 15+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Cade Cunningham: 40+ points, rebounds, and assists | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | George Kittle: 50+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Team Over 29.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Nico Collins: 60+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Nico Collins: 70+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Nebraska wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Over 25.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Under 31.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Southern Utah Thunderbirds 38:17 UC Davis Aggies NCAAF | Over 63.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Ole Miss Rebels 31:3 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Over 57.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Team Over 27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | OSU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Penn 27:28 Columbia Lions NCAAF | Columbia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | Over 65.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | AJ Barner: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | AFC Bournemouth 3:0 SK Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 4:1 Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) Europa League | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Over 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Los Angeles Lakers 89:101 Golden State Warriors NBA | Over 225.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 33:30 Delaware Blue Hens NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27:24 Florida International Panthers NCAAF | Over 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Sabah Masazir 2:0 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Champions League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Sabah Masazir 2:0 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Over 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Brenton Strange: 7+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Parker Washington: 6+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Bhayshul Tuten: 70+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | ASU -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona State Sun Devils 30:12 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Over 53.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Fresno State Bulldogs 31:38 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Over 58.5 | Won |