Kalshi · Football
tight.seat is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 60.6% win rate, $499 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 27 won, 33 lost, 45.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Intl Friendlies | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| Champions League | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Nations League | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
tight.seat mainly predicts MLB: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.6% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $499, ROI 10.9%. In MLB, 4 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 01:28 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 FC Cincinnati MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 FC Cincinnati MLS | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Torino FC 1:3 Como 1907 Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 0:0 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Real Betis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:5 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Inter Milan (Inter) 1:0 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | AC Monza 4:0 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | Cagliari wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Leeds United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Leeds United record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Club Tijuana 1:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Levante UD La Liga | Deportivo De La Coruna wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | River Plate wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | Junin wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Under 41.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Golden State Valkyries 83:81 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Dream 101:98 New York Liberty WNBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi scores first + Argentina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Venezuela wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Over 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 2:0 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Canada wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | India men's national football team (India) 0:4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | France wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Jamaica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Belgium wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 2:1 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Venezuela wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | India men's national football team (India) 1:1 Panama men's national football team (Panama) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Atlanta 6:7 Cincinnati MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 2:1 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Japan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Norway wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Boston 1:0 Cleveland MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |