Kalshi · Football
then.ostrich is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 66.7% win rate, $673 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 32 won, 27 lost, 54.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 23 | 23 | 12 | 52.2% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Indonesia Super League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| ASEAN Championship | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Liga Portugal | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Peru Liga 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
then.ostrich mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $673, ROI 25.4%. In Club Friendlies, 12 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-20 16:11 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Al-Taawon FC (Al-Taawoun) 0:1 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) Saudi Pro League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Zed 3:2 Modern Egyptian Premier League | Zed wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia 1:0 Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League | Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Dewa United 2:0 Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Bhayangkara Presisi Indonesia 1:0 Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Adhyaksa 1:1 Malut United Indonesia Super League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) 1:1 Unión de Santa Fe (Union Santa Fe) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) 0:0 Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) Brasileiro Serie B | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Junin 1:1 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Junin 1:1 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Junin wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 1:1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Unión La Calera (Union La Calera) 1:2 Club Social y Deportivo Colo Colo (Colo-Colo) Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera vs Colo-Colo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) 2:3 Bucaramanga Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Alianza FC Valledupar vs Bucaramanga Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:2 Viseu Liga Portugal | SL Benfica vs Viseu Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Frosinone Calcio 1:2 SS Lazio Club Friendlies | Frosinone vs Lazio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Kristiansund BK 2:1 Molde FK Eliteserien | Kristiansund vs Molde Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Crema Inter Milan (Inter Milano) Club Friendlies | Crema vs Inter Milano Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Desenzano A.S. Giana Erminio (Giana Erminio) Club Friendlies | Desenzano vs Giana Erminio Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) 1:2 Hibernian F.C. (Hibernian FC) Scottish Premiership | Rangers vs Hibernian Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Udinese Calcio 1:0 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Udinese vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Valencia 1:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Club Friendlies | Valencia vs Newcastle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:2 AFC Bournemouth Club Friendlies | Real Betis vs Bournemouth Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Ferencvárosi TC (Ferencvarosi) 1:2 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | Ferencvarosi vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | PSG vs Manchester United Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Comerciantes U. 3:1 Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes U. vs Cusco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril) 1:1 Famalicao Liga Portugal | Estoril vs Famalicao Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril) 1:1 Famalicao Liga Portugal | Estoril vs Famalicao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | AC Monza 3:3 Calcio Padova Club Friendlies | Monza vs Padova Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Huancayo 1:1 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | Huancayo vs Los Chankas CYC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Tomares 0:0 Atletico Central Club Friendlies | Tomares vs Atletico Central Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Alicante Castellon Club Friendlies | Alicante vs Castellon Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Soenderjyske 0:0 Viborg FF (Viborg) Danish Superliga | Soenderjyske vs Viborg Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Girona FC 2:2 Centre d'Esports Sabadell Futbol Club (Sabadell) Club Friendlies | Girona vs Sabadell Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Singapore 1:1 Indonesia men's national football team (Indonesia) ASEAN Championship | Singapore vs Indonesia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | S.S. Teramo Calcio (Teramo Calcio) 1:1 S.S. Scafatese Calcio 1922 (SS Scafatese Calcio) Club Friendlies | Teramo Calcio vs SS Scafatese Calcio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | S.S. Teramo Calcio (Teramo Calcio) 1:1 S.S. Scafatese Calcio 1922 (SS Scafatese Calcio) Club Friendlies | Teramo Calcio vs SS Scafatese Calcio Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) 0:1 Thailand ASEAN Championship | Philippines vs Thailand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) 0:1 Thailand ASEAN Championship | Philippines vs Thailand Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Guemes 1:3 Club Tristán Suárez (Tristan Suarez) Argentine Nacional B | Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner | Pending |
| 2026-08-03 | Junin 2:1 Rivadavia Argentina Primera Division | Junin vs Rivadavia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 1:0 Dundee F.C. (Dundee FC) Scottish Premiership | Celtic vs Dundee FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | KS Cracovia (Cracovia Krakow) 0:2 Pogoń Szczecin (Pogon Szczecin) Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Odense Boldklub (Odense BK) 1:0 Soenderjyske Danish Superliga | Odense vs Soenderjyske Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | KS Cracovia (Cracovia Krakow) 0:2 Pogoń Szczecin (Pogon Szczecin) Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 3:1 MC Algiers (MC Alger) Club Friendlies | Al-Shabab vs MC Alger Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 3:1 MC Algiers (MC Alger) Club Friendlies | Al-Shabab vs MC Alger Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Indonesia men's national football team (Indonesia) 0:3 Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) ASEAN Championship | Indonesia vs Vietnam Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Denver Summit FC 1:1 Boston Legacy FC NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Boston Legacy FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Independ. Santa Fe 2:2 Once Caldas Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Independ. Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Birmingham Legion FC 1:0 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC vs Rhode Island FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 0:1 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) Argentina Primera Division | River Plate vs Rosario Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | CD Moquegua 0:0 FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 | Ucv Moquegua vs Melgar Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Atlético Central Norte (Central Norte) 1:0 Los Andes Argentine Nacional B | Central Norte vs Los Andes Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 3:3 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Stade Rennais Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC 1:2 SS Lazio Club Friendlies | Ascoli vs Lazio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 3:3 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Stade Rennais Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 3:3 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Stade Rennais Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Genk 2:1 Enschede Club Friendlies | Genk vs Enschede Winner | Won |