Kalshi · Baseball
td275 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 65.8% win rate, $285 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 49 | 49 | 31 | 63.3% |
| Japan NPB | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Korea KBO | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
td275 mainly predicts MLB: 49 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.8% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $285, ROI 13.0%. In MLB, 31 of 49 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-04 23:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | New York Mets 10:6 San Francisco MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Utah Utes 66:14 Idaho Vandals NCAAF | Idaho wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 21:37 Massachusetts Minutemen NCAAF | UMass wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 6:9 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Milwaukee 4:7 Texas MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Detroit Tigers 1:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit Tigers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | St. Louis Cardinals 4:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 1:0 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Mets 1:8 Milwaukee MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Seattle Mariners 0:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Miami Marlins 2:0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | TEX -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Miami Marlins 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 13:1 Athletics MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Arizona to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina win the 1st Quarter | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | TOR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6:13 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | HOU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 1:0 Hanshin Tigers Japan NPB | Hanshin Tigers vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Houston Astros 1:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 1:13 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Chicago Cubs 0:2 New York Yankees MLB | NYY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Seattle Mariners 3:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows 3:4 Hanshin Tigers Japan NPB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 3:1 Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB | HIR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Doosan Bears 4:2 LG Twins Korea KBO | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Doosan Bears 4:2 LG Twins Korea KBO | DOO +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | KT Wiz 5:3 Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | San Diego Padres 1:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | SF -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | San Diego Padres 1:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Dallas Wings 81:82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates 7:8 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | San Francisco Giants 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |