Kalshi · Football · Basketball
swamp.donkey1017 is a Saudi Pro League pro on Kalshi: 210 picks, 82.9% win rate, $7K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 50 won, 10 lost, 83.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Pro League | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| Japan J1 League | 7 | 7 | 7 | 100.0% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Egyptian Premier League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
swamp.donkey1017 mainly predicts Saudi Pro League: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.9% hit rate over 210 orders, P&L $7K, ROI 17.9%. In Saudi Pro League, 6 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-26 04:44 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Club Tijuana 4:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Club Tijuana 4:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Frontale 2:1 Fagiano Okayama Japan J1 League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) 1:0 V-Varen Nagasaki (V-Varen) Japan J1 League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) 1:0 V-Varen Nagasaki (V-Varen) Japan J1 League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Nagoya Grampus (Nagoya) 1:1 Marinos Japan J1 League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Utah wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Charlotte Hornets 115:110 Miami Heat NBA | Under 240.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | VfL Bochum 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga 2 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | FC Silon Taborsko 1:1 Trinec Czech National Football League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Al Ittihad 2:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) Saudi Pro League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Al-Shamal 2:3 Qatar SC Qatar Stars League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Faisaly) 1:3 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Inter Kashi FC 1:5 East Bengal FC Indian Super League | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Inter Kashi FC 1:5 East Bengal FC Indian Super League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Gia Lai 0:2 Nghe An Vietnam V-League 1 | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Brisbane 2:1 Perth A-League Men | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Under 190.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Under 206.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | El Mahallah 2:1 Al Ittihad Alexandria Egyptian Premier League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Persija 5:1 Arema FC Indonesia Super League | Persija wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Frontale 2:1 Kobe Japan J1 League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Asyut Petroleum 0:1 Zamalek SC (Zamalek) Egyptian Premier League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Asyut Petroleum 0:1 Zamalek SC (Zamalek) Egyptian Premier League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Dewa United 2:0 Persijap Jepara Indonesia Super League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) 0:0 Clube Náutico Capibaribe (Nautico) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:1 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 1:1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 2:2 Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Faisaly) Saudi Pro League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 2:2 Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Faisaly) Saudi Pro League | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Trabzonspor 2:0 Besiktas Super Lig | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | FC RFS 2:0 Tukums 2000 Latvian Virsliga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Al-Feiha FC (Al-Fayha) 2:3 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Al-Feiha FC (Al-Fayha) 2:3 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Al-Feiha FC (Al-Fayha) 2:3 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Al-Feiha FC (Al-Fayha) 2:3 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Manisa 3:4 Mugla TFF 1. Lig | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Cong an TP Ho Chi Minh 1:0 The Cong - Viettel Vietnam V-League 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Trinidense 1:0 Club Libertad (Libertad) APF Division de Honor | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | AC Milan 3:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Odense Boldklub (Odense BK) 2:1 Brøndby IF (Broendby) Danish Superliga | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Leverkusen) 2:1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | IK Sirius 2:2 IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Gangwon FC 1:1 Incheon Utd Korea K League 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | FC Machida Zelvia 3:0 Avispa Fukuoka (Avispa) Japan J1 League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Fagiano Okayama 0:3 Kobe Japan J1 League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Aucas 1:1 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Villarreal CF 0:0 Elche CF La Liga | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 0:1 Atletico La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Defensa y Justicia 0:1 Instituto Cordoba Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Defensa y Justicia 0:1 Instituto Cordoba Argentina Primera Division | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) 2:1 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) 2:1 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) 1:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) EFL Championship | Wolverhampton wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Venlo 4:4 Jong AZ Alkmaar Eerste Divisie | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Huancayo 2:1 Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 | Huancayo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Annecy 1:2 Nancy-Lorraine Ligue 2 | Tie is the result | Lost |