Kalshi · Football
spfamous is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 60.0% win rate, $227 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 33 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 33 have settled: 14 won, 19 lost, 42.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 21 | 12 | 57.1% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
spfamous mainly predicts World Cup: 21 of the last 33 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $227, ROI 35.7%. In World Cup, 12 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-19 00:45 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:2 FC Dallas MLS | Portland vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe scores first in entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) and France advances | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Vinicius Junior: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Declan Rice: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 127:114 San Antonio NBA | Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner | Lost |