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sad.birth

Kalshi · Football

sad.birth is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 62 picks, 69.3% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.

Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.

69.35%Accuracy
19.60%ROI
1527.1P&L
62Predictions
139Followers

By league (records on this page)

LeagueRecordsSettledWonAccuracy
NBA31311341.9%
Premier League1010990.0%
Danish Superliga221—
Conference League220—
AFCON222—
Super Lig111—

Quick answers

What does sad.birth specialise in?

sad.birth mainly predicts NBA: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.

What is sad.birth's real track record?

Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.3% hit rate over 62 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 19.6%. In NBA, 13 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.

How are these numbers calculated?

Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.

Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 03:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology

Last 5

WWLWW

Pick history

DateMatchPickResult
2026-10-29Dallas Mavericks 120:96 Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA
Oklahoma City winsLost
2026-10-27Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Minnesota winsLost
2026-10-27Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Cleveland winsWon
2026-10-27Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Under 58.5Lost
2026-10-26Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Over 51.5Won
2026-10-26Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Over 57.5Lost
2026-10-26Copenhagen 1:1 Odense Boldklub (Odense BK)
Danish Superliga
Over 1.5Won
2026-10-26Copenhagen 1:1 Odense Boldklub (Odense BK)
Danish Superliga
Copenhagen winsLost
2026-10-26Besiktas 2:0 İstanbul Başakşehir F.K. (Basaksehir)
Super Lig
Over 0.5Won
2026-10-26Neftchi 1:2 Al Ittihad
AFC Champions League
Under 3.5Won
2026-10-26Sacramento Kings 112:123 Memphis Grizzlies
NBA
Team Over 117.5Lost
2026-10-26Philadelphia 76ers 93:106 Detroit Pistons
NBA
DET +8.5Lost
2026-10-26Minnesota Timberwolves 117:94 Toronto Raptors
NBA
MIN -18.5Won
2026-10-26Minnesota Timberwolves 117:94 Toronto Raptors
NBA
MIN +22.5Lost
2026-10-26Minnesota Timberwolves 117:94 Toronto Raptors
NBA
MIN +1.5Lost
2026-10-25Real Sociedad 2:1 Levante UD
La Liga
Over 3.5Lost
2026-10-24SS Lazio 2:1 Parma Calcio 1913
Serie A
1H Under 0.5Won
2026-10-24Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham)
Premier League
Over 1.5Won
2026-10-24San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets
NBA
Under 54.5Lost
2026-10-24San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets
NBA
Under 53.5Lost
2026-10-24Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
MIN -19.5Won
2026-10-24Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Minnesota wins the 3rd quarterWon
2026-10-23Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls
NBA
Milwaukee wins the 2nd quarterLost
2026-10-23Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls
NBA
Over 50.5Lost
2026-10-23Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls
NBA
Under 62.5Won
2026-10-23Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls
NBA
Milwaukee wins the 1st quarterWon
2026-10-23Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 1:1 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC)
Premier League
Nottingham Forest winsWon
2026-10-23VfB Stuttgart 2:3 M´gladbach
Bundesliga
Team Over 0.5Won
2026-10-23Al Ittihad 2:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club)
Saudi Pro League
Over 1.5Won
2026-10-23Beijing Royal Fighters 93:82 Jiangsu Dragons
Chinese Basketball Association
BRF +6.5Lost
2026-10-23Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC)
Premier League
1H Over 1.5Lost
2026-10-23Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets
NBA
Team Over 95.5Won
2026-10-23Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets
NBA
Oklahoma City winsWon
2026-10-23Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets
NBA
OKC -2.5Won
2026-10-23Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets
NBA
DEN -5.5Lost
2026-10-23Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets
NBA
DEN +5.5Won
2026-10-23Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
Philadelphia winsWon
2026-10-23Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
PHI +13.5Lost
2026-10-23Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
PHI -1.5Won
2026-10-23Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
1H Under 112.5Lost
2026-10-22FK Jablonec 0:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton)
Conference League
BRI -1.5Lost
2026-10-22FC Kairat (Kairat) 1:5 Panathinaikos F.C. (Panathinaikos)
Conference League
1H Under 1.5Lost
2026-10-21El Mahallah 2:1 Al Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League
Over 3.5Lost
2026-10-20Golden State Valkyries 65:79 Atlanta Dream
WNBA
ATL +1.5Lost
2026-10-19Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry)
Premier League
TOT +2.5Won
2026-10-19Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry)
Premier League
Tie is the resultWon
2026-10-19Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry)
Premier League
Team Over 0.5Won
2026-10-19Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry)
Premier League
TOT +1.5Won
2026-10-17Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 2:2 Juventude RS
Brasileiro Serie B
Juventude RS winsLost
2026-10-17Minnesota 3:2 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis)
MLS
Over 2.5Won
2026-10-17Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 0:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC)
Premier League
Under 5.5Won
2026-10-17Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 3:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC)
Premier League
MCI +3.5Won
2026-10-17Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 0:2 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC)
Premier League
CFC +2.5Won
2026-10-17Golden State Warriors 128:118 Portland Trail Blazers
NBA
Portland winsLost
2026-10-17Chicago Bulls 133:116 Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Minnesota winsLost
2026-10-17Philadelphia 76ers 120:125 Boston Celtics
NBA
Philadelphia winsLost
2026-09-29Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0:0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus)
Nations League
Under 0.5Won
2026-09-29Lesotho men's national football team (Lesotho) 0:2 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco)
AFCON
MAR +2.5Won
2026-09-29Lesotho men's national football team (Lesotho) 0:2 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco)
AFCON
Morocco winsWon
2026-09-29Wuxi Wugou 1:0 Ningbo Professional
China League 1
WUX +2.5Won
See the full record on Tips
Data on this page comes from public trades and positions on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi. This site only displays data and does not offer betting or trading of any kind.

Recent matches

Dallas Mavericks – Oklahoma City ThunderCleveland Cavaliers – Minnesota TimberwolvesCopenhagen – Odense BoldklubBesiktas – İstanbul Başakşehir F.K.Neftchi – Al IttihadSacramento Kings – Memphis GrizzliesPhiladelphia 76ers – Detroit PistonsMinnesota Timberwolves – Toronto RaptorsReal Sociedad – Levante UDSS Lazio – Parma Calcio 1913Chelsea F.C. – Tottenham Hotspur F.C.Aston Villa F.C. – Manchester City F.C.San Antonio Spurs – Houston RocketsOrlando Magic – Minnesota TimberwolvesMilwaukee Bucks – Chicago BullsIpswich Town F.C. – Nottingham Forest F.C.VfB Stuttgart – M´gladbachAl Ittihad – Al-Diriyah ClubBeijing Royal Fighters – Jiangsu DragonsOklahoma City Thunder – Denver NuggetsPhiladelphia 76ers – Cleveland CavaliersFK Jablonec – Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.FC Kairat – Panathinaikos F.C.El Mahallah – Al Ittihad Alexandria

See the full data on Tips