Kalshi · Football
reliable.heron3286 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 77 picks, 62.3% win rate, $750 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 37 | 37 | 21 | 56.8% |
| Champions League | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Leagues Cup | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| EFL Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
reliable.heron3286 mainly predicts World Cup: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.3% hit rate over 77 orders, P&L $750, ROI 20.1%. In World Cup, 21 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 15:43 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:5 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Sporting CP 2:3 LASK Linz (LASK) Champions League | LASK wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Sabah Masazir 1:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Sabah Masazir 1:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Sabah Masazir wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | BAR -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | BRU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Real Betis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | America wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 3:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) EFL Cup | Liverpool To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 4:0 Sabah Masazir Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) 3:2 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | Al Qadsiah wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | America 2:0 Columbus Crew (Columbus) Leagues Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Los Angeles F vs Guadalajara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | MLS All-Star Game (MLS All Stars) 4:3 Liga MX All Stars MLS All-Star Game | MLS All Stars vs Liga MX All Stars: Liga MX All Stars To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 America Liga MX | Atlante vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0:1 America Liga MX | Queretaro vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England: 5+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France: 7+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco: 6+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco: 4+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland win in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | 12+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | 7+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria: 4+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | 7+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama: 4+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Won |