Kalshi · Football
poor.stair is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 75.0% win rate, $367 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 46 won, 14 lost, 76.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 32 | 32 | 23 | 71.9% |
| MLB | 20 | 20 | 17 | 85.0% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Europa League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
poor.stair mainly predicts World Cup: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $367, ROI 10.1%. In World Cup, 23 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-23 18:03 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Hammarby Fotboll (Hammarby IF) 1:1 R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) Europa League | Hammarby vs Anderlecht Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Macara 2:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | San Francisco 0:10 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Colorado 6:4 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Kansas City 5:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Atlanta 9:10 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Macara 1:0 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs LDU Quito Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Cincinnati 3:2 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 56:71 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | Portugal vs Greece Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Boston Legacy FC 2:2 Bay FC NWSL | Boston Legacy FC vs Bay FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Washington 5:11 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Atlanta Dream 83:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | New York Yankees 4:11 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Boston 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Golden State Valkyries 76:67 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Detroit 5:7 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Milwaukee 3:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Cleveland 6:5 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Los Angeles Angels 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Cleveland 6:5 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | St. Louis 1:5 Miami MLB | Miami vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Minnesota 5:8 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | San Francisco 1:3 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Boston 6:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Detroit 0:8 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Toronto Tempo 125:97 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Toronto 4:5 Texas MLB | Texas vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Washington 5:10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1:3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Netherlands Winner | Won |