Kalshi · Baseball
plade4251 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 135 picks, 69.6% win rate, $11K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 47 won, 13 lost, 78.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 56 | 56 | 45 | 80.4% |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| TFF 1. Lig | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| EFL League One | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
plade4251 mainly predicts MLB: 56 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.6% hit rate over 135 orders, P&L $11K, ROI 11.5%. In MLB, 45 of 56 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 22:50 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:6 Detroit Tigers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts 23:41 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Texas 6:0 Tampa Bay MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Angels 3:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Chicago Cubs 5:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Karagumruk 1:1 Kayserispor TFF 1. Lig | Kayserispor wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Kansas City Royals 3:6 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Pittsburgh Pirates 13:12 San Francisco Giants MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Tampa Bay 6:2 New York Mets MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Wycombe Wanderers F.C. (Wycombe) 1:2 Sheffield Wednesday F.C. (Sheffield Wednesday FC) EFL League One | Sheffield Wednesday wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Milwaukee 4:7 Texas MLB | Texas first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Washington Nationals 2:6 Miami Marlins MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Nationals 5:4 Miami Marlins MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees 0:6 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Chicago Cubs 17:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Washington Nationals 9:2 Miami Marlins MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 12:18 San Francisco NFL | 3Q Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Yankees 9:3 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Arizona First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | first 5 innings tie | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs San Diego First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | St. Louis Cardinals 1:13 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs St. Louis First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Yankees 7:9 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Miami Marlins 3:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Miami First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs San Diego First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Miami Marlins 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Miami First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 8:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs San Diego First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Texas 5:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | New York Yankees 8:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Houston Astros 3:4 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Houston Astros 3:4 Athletics MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 12:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Miami Marlins 4:2 Washington Nationals MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs New York Y First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Cleveland Guardians 5:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6:13 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Baltimore Orioles 0:8 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Cleveland Guardians 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Toronto First Inning Run | Won |