Kalshi · American football
nickelaus is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 99 picks, 59.6% win rate, $8K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 31 | 31 | 18 | 58.1% |
| NFL | 29 | 29 | 17 | 58.6% |
nickelaus mainly predicts NCAAF: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 59.6% hit rate over 99 orders, P&L $8K, ROI 13.7%. In NCAAF, 18 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-29 01:05 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Under 36.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Over 33.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | TB +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers 36:30 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | MIN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | MIN -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | LV -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Under 64.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Over 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Over 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | Over 19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | Over 16.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | NYG -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | NYG -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | NYG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | WAS -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | PIT -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | PIT -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | WAS -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | WAS +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | WAS -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | DET -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | DET +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | DET -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | Over 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | Under 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | Over 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | MINN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | MINN -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | MINN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Fresno State Bulldogs 38:24 Rice Owls NCAAF | Rice wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Fresno State Bulldogs 38:24 Rice Owls NCAAF | Fresno St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 31:24 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 31:24 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Under 60.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 31:24 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Over 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington 24:27 Minnesota NCAAF | MINN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | ORE +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cincinnati 31:26 Kansas State Wildcats NCAAF | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Cincinnati 31:26 Kansas State Wildcats NCAAF | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cincinnati 31:26 Kansas State Wildcats NCAAF | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Over 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Under 30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Baylor Bears 23:13 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | COLO -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Under 34.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | CLEM +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Over 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +2.5 | Lost |