Kalshi · Baseball
neat.gap is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 47 picks, 61.7% win rate, $579 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 26 won, 33 lost, 44.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 18 | 58.1% |
| NFL | 18 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Japan NPB | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| USL Championship | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Uruguay Primera Division | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
neat.gap mainly predicts MLB: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.7% hit rate over 47 orders, P&L $579, ROI 43.9%. In MLB, 18 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-14 01:20 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Mark Andrews: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Christian McCaffrey: 15+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Sam Darnold: 10+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | Washington wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | New York Jets 17:12 Cleveland Browns NFL | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | BYU +20.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | AJ Dillon: 5+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Buffalo Bills 26:29 New England Patriots NFL | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | George Pickens: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 1:0 Cleveland MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Isaiah Likely: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Travis Kelce: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Xavier Worthy: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Boston College Eagles 22:16 Maine Black Bears NCAAF | Maine wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | NE -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | Under 26.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | Mack Hollins: 15+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:41 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Trey Lance: 150+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Angels 6:7 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Yomiuri Giants 7:3 Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yomiuri Giants winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 1:0 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 0:6 Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:10 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 5:6 New York Mets MLB | Under 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Boston Red Sox 4:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 5:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 6:10 Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Oakland Roots SC 0:1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) USL Championship | Oakland Roots SC vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rockies 12:6 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 0:2 Wanderers Uruguay Primera Division | Montevideo City vs Wanderers Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:2 Texas Rangers MLB | TB -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Cincinnati Reds 1:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 19.5 | Won |