Kalshi · Baseball
moa24 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 30 picks, 63.3% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 26 | 26 | 14 | 53.8% |
| NFL | 15 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 13 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
moa24 mainly predicts MLB: 26 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.3% hit rate over 30 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 13.3%. In MLB, 14 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 20:26 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Under 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Tennessee Titans 24:27 Cleveland Browns NFL | CLE -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints 10:16 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Los Angeles Lakers 125:117 Los Angeles Clippers NBA | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | CHI -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Tyrese Maxey: 6+ assists | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Jayden Daniels: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Drake London: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Under 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | George Pickens: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Michael Penix Jr.: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | San Francisco 49ers 24:14 DEN Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | Davante Adams: 50+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Atlanta Braves 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | New York Yankees 1:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Cleveland Guardians 5:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Baltimore Orioles 5:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | TOR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 4:5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Boston Red Sox 6:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Mariners 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Texas Rangers 3:10 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Pittsburgh Pirates 14:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Texas 7:3 Houston MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Cincinnati 0:1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Cincinnati 1:4 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |