Kalshi · Football
mdhayden31 is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 61.9% win rate, $497 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 16 won, 43 lost, 27.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 39 | 38 | 11 | 28.9% |
| NCAAF | 13 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| NBA | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
mdhayden31 mainly predicts NFL: 39 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.9% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $497, ROI 30.9%. In NFL, 11 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-26 00:00 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 275+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 250+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Jahmyr Gibbs: 100+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Jahmyr Gibbs: 3+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | J.J. McCarthy: 275+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | J.J. McCarthy: 250+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | J.J. McCarthy: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Isaiah Likely: 70+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Isaiah Likely: 60+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | Isaiah Likely: 50+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | HOU +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Under 36.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Under 27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Under 30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Over 56.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Over 54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Over 60.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Boston Celtics 107:103 New York Knicks NBA | Over 223.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Boston Celtics 107:103 New York Knicks NBA | NYK -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Over 238.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Jalen Brunson: 35+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Josh Hart: 12+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Josh Hart: 10+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Josh Hart: 8+ rebounds | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dak Prescott: 300+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dak Prescott: 275+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 375+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 325+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 300+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Rams 16:18 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Matthew Stafford: 275+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Nico Collins: 110+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Nico Collins: 100+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Nico Collins: 90+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Nico Collins: 70+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Under 28.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Under 31.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | San Diego State Aztecs 26:23 Fresno State Bulldogs NCAAF | Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Over 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | 1H Over 19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 250+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 200+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Josh Allen: 175+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Over 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | 1H Over 26.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | 1H Over 24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | 1H Over 21.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Jacoby Brissett: 275+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Sam Darnold: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Justin Herbert: 275+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 80+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 70+ rushing yards | Lost |