Kalshi · American football · Football
m.smed is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 124 picks, 72.6% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 31 | 31 | 21 | 67.7% |
| NFL | 16 | 16 | 11 | 68.8% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
m.smed mainly predicts NCAAF: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.6% hit rate over 124 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 31.7%. In NCAAF, 21 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 23:02 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Rams 16:18 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles 14:25 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Nebraska wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | UTSA Roadrunners 38:34 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | UTSA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Oklahoma Sooners 13:21 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | OKLA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Vanderbilt Commodores 21:31 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Vanderbilt wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Houston 35:32 Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Vanderbilt Commodores 21:31 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Georgia Bulldogs 24:27 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Golden State Valkyries 68:64 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Jackson State Tigers 27:17 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Jackson St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Air Force Falcons 41:31 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | UNLV wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Georgia Bulldogs 24:27 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | Auburn wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Ole Miss Rebels 31:3 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Tennessee 26:10 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Michigan State Spartans 21:24 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Northwestern wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Texas Longhorns 24:27 Florida Gators NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Buffalo 25:18 Massachusetts Minutemen NCAAF | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Boston College Eagles 27:21 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Boston College wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | West Virginia Mountaineers 45:42 Cincinnati NCAAF | West Virginia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Michigan State Spartans 21:24 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Michigan St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Golden State Valkyries 68:64 Atlanta Dream WNBA | GS +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Kansas State Wildcats 35:24 Kansas Jayhawks NCAAF | Kansas St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Brentford wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 1:1 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Salt Lake wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Missouri State Bears 24:21 Kennesaw State Owls NCAAF | Missouri St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Western Kentucky wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Green Bay Packers 31:7 Chicago Bears NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:24 Tennessee NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:35 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Texas A&M Aggies 34:7 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Las Vegas Aces 94:83 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Dallas Wings 108:100 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Washington Mystics 75:93 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Liberty 87:71 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | New York wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Indiana Fever 99:89 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |