Kalshi · Baseball
lukeslux is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 52 picks, 61.5% win rate, $241 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 54 | 54 | 32 | 59.3% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
lukeslux mainly predicts MLB: 54 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.5% hit rate over 52 orders, P&L $241, ROI 17.7%. In MLB, 32 of 54 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-19 21:06 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Reds 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Twins 6:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Chicago WS MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Cleveland Guardians 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Chicago WS 2:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:6 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | San Diego Padres 3:6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Under 33.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | COL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Atlanta Braves 4:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Boston Red Sox 14:2 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | AZ -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | AZ -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | AZ -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | CHC -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | CHC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Houston Astros 1:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 162.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | New York Mets 0:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Baltimore Orioles 0:8 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Houston Astros 5:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Houston Astros 11:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | New York Mets 4:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | New York Mets 0:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Sparks 109:113 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Angels 4:6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Los Angeles Angels 4:6 Houston Astros MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | St. Louis Cardinals 7:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Milwaukee Brewers 8:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | MIL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Nashville SC 1:0 Montreal MLS | Nashville vs Montreal Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Houston Astros 5:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Texas Rangers 10:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Texas Winner | Won |