Kalshi · Baseball
lost.breath is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 122 picks, 64.8% win rate, $381 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 41 | 41 | 21 | 51.2% |
| NCAAF | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| WNBA | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
lost.breath mainly predicts MLB: 41 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.8% hit rate over 122 orders, P&L $381, ROI 16.7%. In MLB, 21 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-05 17:57 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | UCLA +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas 3:6 Tampa Bay MLB | TB +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Kansas City Royals 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | KC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 1:5 New York Yankees MLB | SD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Houston Astros 3:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | HOU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | BYU Cougars 63:7 Utah Tech Trailblazers NCAAF | BYU -38.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | LSU +20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Seattle Mariners 2:6 Athletics MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Texas Tech to win | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | ORE -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Longhorns 59:7 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | TEX -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 63:3 Tennessee State Tigers NCAAF | UGA +54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Auburn wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | MICH -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | New Mexico Lobos 38:7 Central Michigan Chippewas NCAAF | New Mexico wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Utah St. 17:29 Idaho State Bengals NCAAF | Utah St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 24:10 Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Houston Astros 7:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 5:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Kansas City Royals 8:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Texas Rangers 1:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Houston Astros 1:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Liberty 95:83 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs New York women's Pro Basketball game: New York wins | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rockies 8:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Cincinnati Reds 10:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 5:0 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Baltimore Orioles 0:8 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Atlanta Dream 87:109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx 108:100 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Colorado Rockies 12:6 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Cleveland Guardians 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Houston Astros 5:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Baltimore Orioles 0:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 1:13 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Angels 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Colorado Rockies 3:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Houston Astros 11:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:6 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |