Kalshi · Football
light.crack is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 34 picks, 61.8% win rate, $285 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 18 won, 42 lost, 30.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 40 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% |
| MLB | 20 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% |
light.crack mainly predicts World Cup: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.8% hit rate over 34 orders, P&L $285, ROI 16.7%. In World Cup, 14 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-06 02:52 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Seattle Mariners 2:6 Athletics MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | San Diego Padres 1:5 New York Yankees MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Houston Astros 3:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Chicago Cubs 5:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cleveland Guardians 0:11 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:7 New York Yankees MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Pittsburgh Pirates 13:12 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Cleveland Guardians 6:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Houston Astros 6:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 9:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 9:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Tampa Bay 2:3 New York Mets MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Tampa Bay 2:3 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Atlanta Braves 3:7 San Francisco Giants MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Minnesota Twins 5:1 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Julian Alvarez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |