Kalshi · Esports
important.sole is a La Liga pro on Kalshi: 32 picks, 75.0% win rate, $516 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 38 won, 20 lost, 65.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 10 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| CS2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Japan NPB | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Dota 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
important.sole mainly predicts La Liga: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 32 orders, P&L $516, ROI 35.4%. In La Liga, 7 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-04 00:40 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Santander La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Levante UD 2:4 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | FC Barcelona 5:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Valencia 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Barcelona vs Bilbao Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 1:2 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 0:0 Levante UD La Liga | Osasuna vs Levante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Getafe CF 1:0 Santander La Liga | Getafe vs Santander Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico 2:2 Villarreal CF La Liga | Atletico vs Villarreal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Elche vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Chiba Lotte Marines 3:2 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | TYLOO 3:1 JD Gaming VCT China | TYLOO to win | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | JD Gaming 2:1 EDward Gaming LPL | JD Gaming wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Nongshim RedForce 2:1 BNK FEARX LCK | BNK FEARX wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 1:3 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Legacy 2:1 FURIA CS2 | Legacy wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Team Spirit 3:2 TEAM VISION Dota 2 | Team Spirit to win | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 9:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 13:33 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay vs Denver Pro Football game: GB Packers wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 6:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | G2 2:1 BIG CS2 | G2 to win | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Ind. Medellin 2:2 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Ind. Medellin vs Vasco da Gama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Tecnico Uni 0:1 Aucas Ecuador LigaPro | Tecnico Uni vs Aucas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | PARIVISION 3:1 BetBoom Dota 2 | PARIVISION to win | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | New York Yankees 2:8 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | KT Wiz 2:2 Doosan Bears Korea KBO | Doosan Bears vs KT Wiz winner | Pending |
| 2026-07-19 | NC Dinos 3:10 Doosan Bears Korea KBO | Doosan Bears vs NC Dinos winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | LG Twins 1:4 KT Wiz Korea KBO | KT Wiz vs LG Twins winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Samsung Lions 8:11 Lotte Giants Korea KBO | Lotte Giants vs Samsung Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Yokohama DeNA BayStars 5:1 Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 3:6 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Atlanta Dream 93:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Marc Cucurella: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Ferran Torres: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Pedri: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Dani Olmo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lautaro Martinez: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Julian Alvarez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Rising FC 3:2 Monterey Bay FC USL Championship | Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Orix Buffaloes 1:5 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | EDward Gaming 2:0 Trace Esports VCT China | EDward Gaming to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | BetBoom 2:0 Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 | BetBoom Team to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | EDward Gaming 2:0 Trace Esports VCT China | Trace Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | ALKA 1:2 Game Hunters CS2 | ALKA to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | eSuba 2:1 EAC Rising CS2 | EAC Rising to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Donstu Esports 0:2 BIG Academy CS2 | BIG Academy to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | DetonatioN FocusMe DRX VCT Pacific | DRX to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Vici Gaming 2:0 Team Falcons Dota 2 | Team Falcons to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Gentle Mates 0:2 3DMAX CS2 | 3DMAX to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | JD Gaming 0:2 Gen.G Esports World Cup (LoL) | JD Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | JD Gaming 0:2 Gen.G Esports World Cup (LoL) | Gen.G to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | T1 2:0 Hanwha Life Esports Esports World Cup (LoL) | Hanwha Life Esports to win | Lost |