Kalshi · Football
hat.church is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 54 picks, 79.6% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 43 won, 17 lost, 71.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 58 | 58 | 42 | 72.4% |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
hat.church mainly predicts World Cup: 58 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 79.6% hit rate over 54 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 22.9%. In World Cup, 42 of 58 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-29 22:25 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Atlanta 0:2 Charlotte FC MLS | Atlanta vs Charlotte Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Senegal win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | New York Yankees 2:6 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France: 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | USA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | TUR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | COL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |