Kalshi · Football
fair.clue is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 64.7% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 29 | 16 | 55.2% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| Champions League | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Saudi Pro League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
fair.clue mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 63.0%. In World Cup, 16 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 19:02 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Real Madrid 4:1 Leipzig Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:3 Villarreal CF Champions League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Al Nassr Club 1:0 AL Suqoor Saudi Pro League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Sabah Masazir 1:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | Dortmund wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Jayden Daniels: 2+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | AS Roma 2:0 Genoa CFC (Genoa) Serie A | Roma wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 2:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1:3 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Troy Franklin: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1:1 Germany Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Toronto Tempo 69:106 New York Liberty WNBA | New York wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Golden State Valkyries 70:57 Seattle Storm WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Golden State Valkyries 82:66 Portland Fire WNBA | Golden State wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Boise St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Madrid La Liga | RMA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Madrid La Liga | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 0:2 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103:90 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Washington Mystics 96:92 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Washington women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Golden State Valkyries 96:79 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury 92:94 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: New York wins | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | COL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | COL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |