Kalshi · Basketball
excellent.reindeer8398 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 75.0% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 55 have settled: 32 won, 23 lost, 58.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 25 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 24 | 24 | 19 | 79.2% |
| WNBA | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
excellent.reindeer8398 mainly predicts World Cup: 25 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 18.7%. In World Cup, 10 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-21 03:10 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Miami 101:87 Detroit NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | New 88:110 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | New York to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Denver to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New 77:87 Golden NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Chicago 82:105 Los Angeles Lakers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Houston 100:83 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Houston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | San Antonio to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 76:82 Boston NBA Summer League | Boston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Milwaukee to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Philadelphia 92:99 Orlando NBA Summer League | Orlando to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | New Orleans to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114:98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Chicago winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 99:85 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Oklahoma 103:106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Denver to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Brooklyn 115:83 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Brooklyn to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Houston 90:64 Philadelphia NBA Summer League | Houston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Milwaukee 88:95 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Utah 80:63 Chicago NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Boston 90:102 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Atlanta to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93:94 Toronto NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Miami 119:86 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Miami to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA +1.5 | Lost |