Kalshi · Football
defeated.mongoose4769 is a MLS pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 61.1% win rate, $559 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 10 won, 50 lost, 16.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 9 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Saudi Pro League | 9 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Serie A | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| USL Championship | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
defeated.mongoose4769 mainly predicts MLS: 9 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.1% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $559, ROI 48.3%. In MLS, 1 of 9 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-02 04:20 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 Houston MLS | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-11-02 | Sacramento Republic FC 1:0 FC Tulsa USL Championship | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 Houston MLS | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | New England 1:2 Inter Miami CF MLS | New England wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Nashville SC 3:2 Red Bull New York (New York RB) MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Bilbao 2:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Juventus FC 2:0 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Bilbao 2:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Bilbao wins | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Cusco FC 0:1 Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Cusco FC 0:1 Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys wins | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Elche CF 0:1 Valencia La Liga | Elche wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Getafe CF 3:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | SC Telstar (Telstar 1963) 4:2 FC Utrecht Eredivisie | Utrecht wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Arsenal Women 1:1 Aston Villa W English Women's Super League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Como 1907 1:0 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | Venezia wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Yogyakarta 2:1 Borneo F.C. Samarinda (Borneo Samarinda) Indonesia Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | America 2:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-11-01 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 3:3 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-01 | Colorado 2:4 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 2:2 Juventude RS Brasileiro Serie B | Vila Nova wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 2:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Salt Lake wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Barcelona 6:1 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | FC Barcelona 6:1 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) La Liga | Alaves wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Standard 1:1 K.V. Kortrijk (KV Kortrijk) Belgian Pro League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | M´gladbach 0:0 SC Paderborn 07 (Paderborn) Bundesliga | M´gladbach wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Kobe 3:1 Nagoya Grampus (Nagoya) Japan J1 League | Kobe wins | Won |
| 2026-10-31 | El Paso Locomotive FC 2:1 San Antonio FC USL Championship | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Juarez 3:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-31 | Charleston Battery (Charleston) 1:1 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) 0:2 Tigre Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Coquimbo 1:0 Unión La Calera (Union La Calera) Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Asyut Petroleum 1:1 El Gouna FC (El Gouna) Egyptian Premier League | Asyut Petroleum wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Asyut Petroleum 1:1 El Gouna FC (El Gouna) Egyptian Premier League | El Gouna wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) 1:2 AL Suqoor Saudi Pro League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) 1:2 AL Suqoor Saudi Pro League | AL Suqoor wins | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Nazareth 3:2 FC Kafr Qasim Liga Leumit | Nazareth wins | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Maccabi Bney Reine 1:1 M. Herzliya Liga Leumit | Maccabi Bney Reine wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Abha FC 1:1 Al Ittihad Saudi Pro League | Al-Ittihad wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Abha FC 1:1 Al Ittihad Saudi Pro League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-30 | Abha FC 1:1 Al Ittihad Saudi Pro League | Al-Ittihad wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Bac Ninh 1:0 Gia Lai Vietnam V-League 1 | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Atlético Nacional (Atletico Nacional) 2:0 Independ. Santa Fe Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | Atlético Nacional (Atletico Nacional) 2:0 Independ. Santa Fe Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Independ. Santa Fe wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-30 | América de Cali (America Cali) 2:1 Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Fortaleza wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) 1:4 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 2:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Fiorentina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 2:2 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Serie A | Atalanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Al-Riyadh SC (Al-Riyadh) 0:6 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) Saudi Pro League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Al Nassr Club 5:3 Al-Kholood Saudi Pro League | Al-Kholood wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Al-Khaleej 4:2 Al-Hazm Saudi Pro League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Al-Khaleej 4:2 Al-Hazm Saudi Pro League | Al-Hazm wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 2:2 Colorado MLS | San Jose wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Internacional de Bogota 3:1 Ind. Medellin Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Chicago Fire FC 2:2 Orlando MLS | Chicago Fire wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Nashville SC 0:0 Philadelphia MLS | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Genoa CFC (Genoa) 2:0 Juventus FC Serie A | Juventus wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | AC Milan 2:4 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | SC Paderborn 07 (Paderborn) 0:1 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal | Stuttgart wins | Won |