Kalshi · Baseball
death.prize is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 60.9% win rate, $261 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 21 won, 39 lost, 35.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 42 | 42 | 18 | 42.9% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| A-League Men | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
death.prize mainly predicts MLB: 42 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.9% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $261, ROI 60.9%. In MLB, 18 of 42 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-24 05:01 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 1:1 Macarthur FC A-League Men | Macarthur wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Brisbane 2:1 Perth A-League Men | Brisbane wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | America 1:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6:5 Houston MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | LAA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Texas 4:2 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6:7 Texas MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | TEX +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle 5:10 Texas MLB | TEX +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Washington Nationals MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Al Qanah 1:1 El Gaish Egyptian Premier League | El Gaish wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs 8:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Atlanta Braves 1:0 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | St. Louis Cardinals 7:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 3:4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | CLE -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | SD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Valencia vs Real Betis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Valencia vs Real Betis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 6:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Chicago WS MLB | CHC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 2:1 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Cruz Azul Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Angels 1:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Athletics 8:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | TEX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Washington Nationals 8:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Toluca vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 1:12 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Tampa Bay 3:0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Atlanta 6:7 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Gilberto Mora: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Boston 6:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Lost |