Kalshi · Basketball
dark.floor is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 60.5% win rate, $495 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 30 | 30 | 18 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 26 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
dark.floor mainly predicts WNBA: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.5% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $495, ROI 20.3%. In WNBA, 18 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-01 20:31 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury 92:94 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: New York wins | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84:83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Chicago women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Toronto Tempo 93:91 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 106:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 106:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 43.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Toronto Tempo 75:83 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 40.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Connecticut Sun 80:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Toronto Tempo 75:83 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | 1H Under 85.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks 64:82 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Los Angeles winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks 64:82 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks 64:82 Seattle Storm WNBA | LA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Golden State Valkyries 77:66 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 153.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Indiana Fever 109:111 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Las Vegas Aces 76:87 New York Liberty WNBA | NY -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Seattle Storm 110:112 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Los Angeles Sparks 98:97 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Dallas Wings 93:92 Chicago Sky WNBA | DAL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Indiana Fever 101:108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Toronto Tempo 106:102 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | SAS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | Minnesota Lynx 87:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Seattle Storm 68:72 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Seattle winner | Lost |