Kalshi · Football
cream.flag is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 60.9% win rate, $303 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 55 have settled: 24 won, 31 lost, 43.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 29 | 14 | 48.3% |
| NFL | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| NBA | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Intl Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
cream.flag mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.9% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $303, ROI 46.8%. In World Cup, 14 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-27 17:25 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 31:24 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Mississippi St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | USC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Tucker Kraft: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27:13 Miami Dolphins NFL | De'Von Achane: 2+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27:13 Miami Dolphins NFL | De'Von Achane: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Tennessee Titans 10:23 New York J NFL | Braelon Allen: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Tennessee Titans 10:23 New York J NFL | New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game: New York J wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 Nashville SC MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Cincinnati 34:15 Boston College Eagles NCAAF | Boston College wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Enzo Fernandez: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | ECU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Jalen Brunson: 35+ points | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | NYK -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Karl-Anthony Towns: 4+ threes | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Mikal Bridges: 5+ threes | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Karl-Anthony Towns: Double Double | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | USA 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | USA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | USA 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | USA vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-05-30 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 103:111 San Antonio NBA | there be overtime in the San Antonio vs Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 | Lost |