Kalshi · Basketball
cliff.lawn is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 22 picks, 63.6% win rate, $325 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 22 | 22 | 12 | 54.5% |
| MLB | 14 | 14 | 8 | 57.1% |
| FIFA World Cup | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
cliff.lawn mainly predicts WNBA: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 22 orders, P&L $325, ROI 16.6%. In WNBA, 12 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 00:11 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Golden State Warriors 111:106 Sacramento Kings NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Brighton wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Augsburg 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | New York Liberty 83:85 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlanta Dream 101:98 New York Liberty WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Indiana Pacers 123:112 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 106:117 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Atlanta Dream 92:82 New York Liberty WNBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | New York Liberty 92:86 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs New York women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Atlanta Dream 96:82 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Phoenix wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Baltimore Orioles 0:8 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 8:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington Nationals 5:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Miami Marlins 2:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Cerro Porteño (Cerro Porteno) 1:2 Trinidense APF Division de Honor | Cerro Porteno vs Trinidense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Washington Mystics 100:99 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 12:7 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Washington Mystics 81:76 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Golden State Valkyries 76:67 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Connecticut Sun 97:101 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | New York Liberty 86:64 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs New York winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Phoenix Mercury 102:111 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Portland Fire 84:83 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Portland winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Washington Mystics 86:85 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Atlanta Dream 90:104 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Seattle Storm 83:88 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Toronto Tempo 106:102 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Toronto winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | Valencia BC (Valencia Basket) 118:117 Club Joventut Badalona Spain Liga ACB | Club Joventut Badalona vs Valencia Basket Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | Chicago Sky 75:82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Chicago winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Minnesota Lynx 100:76 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-03 | Los Angeles Sparks 69:79 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Washington Mystics 90:72 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Atlanta Dream 91:75 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 1:1 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) Intl Friendlies | Georgia vs Romania Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | Phoenix Mercury 77:111 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Phoenix winner | Won |