Kalshi · Football
child.break is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 54 picks, 62.3% win rate, $401 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 28 won, 31 lost, 47.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 37 | 36 | 20 | 55.6% |
| MLB | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NCAAF | 7 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| CS2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
child.break mainly predicts World Cup: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.3% hit rate over 54 orders, P&L $401, ROI 43.0%. In World Cup, 20 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 17:32 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Brooklyn Nets 103:110 Charlotte Hornets NBA | Brooklyn wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Appalachian St. 3:10 Old Dominion Monarchs NCAAF | Appalachian St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Nebraska wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Washington 24:41 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Iowa wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Brooklyn Nets 114:108 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Brooklyn wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Charlotte Hornets 90:124 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Brooklyn wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Over 55.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Northwestern wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Sinners 2:1 Alliance CS2 | Alliance wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Malik Nabers: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Nexus 1:2 ex-RUSTEC CCT Europe | ex-RUSTEC wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Chicago Cubs 3:6 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Gremio Esports 1:2 Rush CCT South America | Gremio Esports wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Atlanta Braves 4:0 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | New York Mets 7:3 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | New York Mets 4:5 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Takefusa Kubo: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |