Kalshi · Football
cason.carte is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 34 picks, 61.8% win rate, $375 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 47 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 47 have settled: 27 won, 20 lost, 57.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 23 | 56.1% |
| NBA | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
cason.carte mainly predicts World Cup: 41 of the last 47 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.8% hit rate over 34 orders, P&L $375, ROI 18.6%. In World Cup, 23 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-15 20:20 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Daniel Munoz: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Alex Freeman: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | SAS +14.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |